Japanese Stocks signal
4502

4502

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited · Healthcare

Japanese StocksDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericJPXJPY-15.8% from ATH
Current Price

$4,961.00

Drawdown from ATH

-15.8%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against 4502's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: 4502's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-6.57%
May 7Jun 17
About 4502

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited engages in the research, development, manufacture, marketing, and out-licensing of pharmaceutical products in Japan and internationally. It offers pharmaceutical products in the areas of gastroenterology, rare diseases, plasma-derived therapies, immunology, oncology, and neuroscience. The company provides its products under the Entyvio, Gattex/Revestive, Takecab/Vocinti, EOHILIA, Alofisel, Dexilant, Pantoloc/Controloc, Adynovate/Adynovi, Feiba Fiber, Recombi

The reading

How Dipsern reads 4502 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is 4502 doing right now?

In plain terms: 4502 is 15.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

4502 (Takeda Pharmaceutical Co.) is 15.8% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a moderate correction, with the last trade at $4,961. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for 4502 — 522 confirmed observations in the 20%-to-15% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in japanese stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for 4502

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to 4502's own volatility history. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other Japanese Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to 4502's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Nippon Yusen K.K.

-15.4% from ATH

Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corp.

-16.4% from ATH

Sumitomo Corp.

-15.0% from ATH

Sekisui House Ltd.

-14.8% from ATH

Itochu Corp.

-16.9% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for 4502. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-65% to -60%1
-60% to -55%28
-55% to -50%285
-50% to -45%642
-45% to -40%566
-40% to -35%548
-35% to -30%849
-30% to -25%850
-25% to -20%537
-20% to -15%Current522
-15% to -10%545
-10% to -5%527
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of 4502's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock 4502's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for 4502.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy 4502 at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.