Japanese Stocks signal
4507

4507

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. · Healthcare

Japanese StocksDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericJPXJPY-22.0% from ATH
Current Price

$2,828.50

Drawdown from ATH

-22.0%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against 4507's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: 4507's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-10.23%
May 7Jun 17
About 4507

Shionogi & Co., Ltd.

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceuticals, diagnostic reagents, and medical devices in Japan and internationally. The company was formerly known as Shionogi Shoten Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shionogi & Co., Ltd. in 1943. The company was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

The reading

How Dipsern reads 4507 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is 4507 doing right now?

In plain terms: 4507 is 22% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Shionogi & Co. (4507) is trading in a deep drawdown, 22.0% below its all-time high at $2,828.5. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for 4507 specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for 4507 — 840 confirmed observations in the 25%-to-20% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in japanese stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for 4507

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to 4507's own volatility history. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other Japanese Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to 4507's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Daiwa House Industry Co.

-21.8% from ATH

Mitsubishi Estate Co.

-22.3% from ATH

Nitto Denko Corp.

-22.5% from ATH

Mitsubishi Corp.

-21.1% from ATH

Asahi Group Holdings

-23.2% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for 4507. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-65% to -60%23
-60% to -55%129
-55% to -50%207
-50% to -45%278
-45% to -40%308
-40% to -35%450
-35% to -30%363
-30% to -25%611
-25% to -20%Current840
-20% to -15%884
-15% to -10%835
-10% to -5%685
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of 4507's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock 4507's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for 4507.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy 4507 at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.