Japanese Stocks signal
4661

4661

Oriental Land Co., Ltd. · Consumer Cyclical

Japanese StocksLeisureJPXJPY-59.7% from ATH
Current Price

$2,266.50

Drawdown from ATH

-59.7%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against 4661's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: 4661's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+2.19%
May 7Jun 17
About 4661

Oriental Land Co., Ltd.

Oriental Land Co., Ltd. operates and manages theme parks and hotels in Japan. It operates through Theme Park and Hotels segments. The Theme Park segment operates and manages Tokyo Disneyland and Tokyo DisneySea theme parks. The Hotel Business segment operates and manages Tokyo Disneyland Hotel, Tokyo DisneySea Hotel MiraCosta, Disney Ambassador Hotel, Tokyo Disney Celebration Hotel, Tokyo Disney Resort Toy Story Hotel, and Tokyo DisneySea Fantasy Springs Hotel. The company also operates and mana

The reading

How Dipsern reads 4661 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is 4661 doing right now?

In plain terms: 4661 is 59.7% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Oriental Land Co. (4661) sits 59.7% off its peak and is currently in a severe drawdown, last printing at $2,266.5. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

4661 has rarely been in the 60% to 55% drawdown band over its trading history, so the sample size for forecasting forward returns is small. We surface this transparently — small samples are still informative, but the confidence interval is wider than for assets with decades of data at this level.

Interpretation

What this means for 4661

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to 4661's own volatility history. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.

Comparable signals

Other Japanese Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to 4661's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Nidec Corp.

-61.4% from ATH

Daiichi Sankyo Co.

-55.9% from ATH

Eisai Co.

-65.4% from ATH

Aeon Co.

-52.7% from ATH

Renesas Electronics Corp.

-51.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for 4661. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-55% to -50%57
-50% to -45%141
-45% to -40%189
-40% to -35%400
-35% to -30%1142
-30% to -25%735
-25% to -20%449
-20% to -15%646
-15% to -10%671
-10% to -5%660
-5% to 0%1193
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of 4661's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock 4661's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for 4661.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy 4661 at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.