Japanese Stocks signal
6178

6178

Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. · Financial Services

Japanese StocksBanks - RegionalJPXJPY-1.0% from ATH
Current Price

$2,527.50

Drawdown from ATH

-1.0%

Last Updated

Sep 19, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against 6178's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: 6178's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+4.70%
Aug 7Sep 18
About 6178

Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.

Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. provides postal, banking, and insurance services in Japan. It operates through the Postal and Logistics Business, Post Office Counter Business, International Logistics Business, and Real Estate Business segments. The company engages in the postal, banking counter, and insurance counter operations; sale of documentary stamps; operations consigned by local government entities; and provision of other bank, and life and non-life insurance agency services. It also provid

The reading

How Dipsern reads 6178 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is 6178 doing right now?

In plain terms: 6178 is 1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Japan Post Holdings Co. (6178) is trading at or near all-time highs, 1.0% below its all-time high at $2,527.5. When an asset is this close to highs, drawdown signals are mostly noise — the more useful question is whether the next 5-10% pullback will be bought aggressively.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, 6178 has spent enough trading days in the 5%-to-0% drawdown band to build a large sample (269 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for 6178

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to 6178's own volatility history. Use this snapshot to set expectations: this is where the asset is, not where it's likely to go. Drawdown-based signals only become high-conviction below shallow-pullback territory.

Comparable signals

Other Japanese Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to 6178's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Nippon Yusen K.K.

-1.0% from ATH

MS&AD Insurance Group

-0.8% from ATH

SoftBank Corp.

-1.4% from ATH

Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corp.

-1.5% from ATH

KDDI Corp.

-1.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for 6178. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-60% to -55%38
-55% to -50%137
-50% to -45%89
-45% to -40%280
-40% to -35%243
-35% to -30%333
-30% to -25%522
-25% to -20%225
-20% to -15%149
-15% to -10%129
-10% to -5%202
-5% to 0%Current269
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of 6178's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock 6178's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for 6178.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy 6178 at your own broker.

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Signal computed Sep 19, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.