ADSK

How is ADSK doing right now?

In plain terms: ADSK is 41.2% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

ADSK (Autodesk) is 41.2% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a severe drawdown, with the last trade at $201.38. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.

What history says at this drawdown

ADSK reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (625 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

What this means for ADSK

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for ADSK reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.