AGN

How is AGN doing right now?

In plain terms: AGN is 60% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Aegon NV (AGN) is trading in a severe drawdown, 60.0% below its all-time high at $7.49. Severe drawdowns separate structurally sound assets from the ones that don't recover. The historical data below shows what AGN did after similar episodes.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for AGN — 14 confirmed observations in the 60%-to-55% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in european stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for AGN

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to AGN's own volatility history. At this depth, focus on prediction error and sample size before median return. A high historical median return at -40% means nothing if the prediction error was also 30%.