ASRNL

How is ASRNL doing right now?

In plain terms: ASRNL is 0.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now ASRNL — ASR Nederland NV — is at or near all-time highs, down 0.6% from its record high. Last price: $66.08. When an asset is this close to highs, drawdown signals are mostly noise — the more useful question is whether the next 5-10% pullback will be bought aggressively.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for ASRNL — 1247 confirmed observations in the 5%-to-0% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in european stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for ASRNL

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to ASRNL's own volatility history. Use this snapshot to set expectations: this is where the asset is, not where it's likely to go. Drawdown-based signals only become high-conviction below shallow-pullback territory.