US Stocks signal
AXON

AXON

Axon Enterprise, Inc. · Industrials

US StocksAerospace & DefenseNMSUSD-26.9% from ATH
Current Price

$636.31

Drawdown from ATH

-26.9%

Last Updated

Aug 12, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against AXON's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: AXON's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+13.50%
Jun 30Aug 11
About AXON

Axon Enterprise, Inc.

Axon Enterprise, Inc. provides public safety technology solutions in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Software and Services, and Connected Devices. The Software and Services segment develops, manufactures, and sells cloud-based software-as-a-service solutions to capture, store, manage, share, and analyze video and other digital evidence. This segment also offers Axon Evidence, Draft One, Axon Records, Axon Standards, Axon Fusus, Axon Assistant, and oth

The reading

How Dipsern reads AXON right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is AXON doing right now?

In plain terms: AXON is 26.9% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now AXON — Axon Enterprise — is in a deep drawdown, down 26.9% from its record high. Last price: $636.31. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for AXON specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

AXON reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (322 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for AXON

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to AXON's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

S&P Global

-27.1% from ATH

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

-26.6% from ATH

Lincoln National

-26.6% from ATH

Autodesk

-26.5% from ATH

UDR, Inc.

-26.3% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for AXON. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-95% to -90%4
-90% to -85%669
-85% to -80%511
-80% to -75%381
-75% to -70%392
-70% to -65%190
-65% to -60%91
-60% to -55%219
-55% to -50%274
-50% to -45%218
-45% to -40%184
-40% to -35%269
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of AXON's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock AXON's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for AXON.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy AXON at your own broker.

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Signal computed Aug 12, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.