UK Stocks signal
BKG

BKG

The Berkeley Group Holdings plc · Consumer Cyclical

UK StocksResidential ConstructionLSEGBp-39.0% from ATH
Current Price

$3,458.00

Drawdown from ATH

-39.0%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against BKG's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: BKG's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+6.07%
May 1Jun 15
About BKG

The Berkeley Group Holdings plc

The Berkeley Group Holdings plc, together with its subsidiaries, builds homes and neighbourhoods in the United Kingdom. The company engages in the residential-led and mixed-use property development and ancillary activities; and land selling activities. It operates under the Berkeley, St Edward, St George, St James, St Joseph, and St William brands. The Berkeley Group Holdings plc was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Cobham, the United Kingdom.

The reading

How Dipsern reads BKG right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is BKG doing right now?

In plain terms: BKG is 39% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now BKG — Berkeley Group Holdings — is in a severe drawdown, down 39.0% from its record high. Last price: $3,458. Severe drawdowns separate structurally sound assets from the ones that don't recover. The historical data below shows what BKG did after similar episodes.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

BKG reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (687 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for BKG

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to BKG's own volatility history. At this depth, focus on prediction error and sample size before median return. A high historical median return at -40% means nothing if the prediction error was also 30%.

Comparable signals

Other UK Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to BKG's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Sage Group plc

-38.7% from ATH

Prudential plc

-38.6% from ATH

Tritax Big Box REIT

-38.4% from ATH

Experian plc

-37.3% from ATH

RELX plc

-40.7% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for BKG. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-70% to -65%15
-65% to -60%105
-60% to -55%410
-55% to -50%267
-50% to -45%205
-45% to -40%334
-40% to -35%Current687
-35% to -30%1020
-30% to -25%909
-25% to -20%806
-20% to -15%945
-15% to -10%1221
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of BKG's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock BKG's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for BKG.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy BKG at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.