Canadian Stocks signal
CSU

CSU

Constellation Software Inc. · Technology

Canadian StocksSoftware - ApplicationTORCAD-44.3% from ATH
Current Price

$2,882.02

Drawdown from ATH

-44.3%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against CSU's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: CSU's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+16.94%
May 5Jun 16
About CSU

Constellation Software Inc.

Constellation Software Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, builds, and manages vertical market software businesses to develop mission-critical software solutions for public and private sector markets. It is involved in the software licensing; and sale of hardware activities. The company also offers professional services consist of implementation services, custom programming, product training, managed services, and consulting services; maintenance and customer support services, and ho

The reading

How Dipsern reads CSU right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is CSU doing right now?

In plain terms: CSU is 44.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Constellation Software Inc (CSU) sits 44.3% off its peak and is currently in a severe drawdown, last printing at $2,882.02. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for CSU — 5 confirmed observations in the 45%-to-40% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in canadian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for CSU

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to CSU's own volatility history. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.

Comparable signals

Other Canadian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to CSU's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Northland Power Inc

-44.0% from ATH

Colliers International Group Inc

-43.2% from ATH

Descartes Systems Group Inc

-43.0% from ATH

CGI Inc

-45.7% from ATH

Ivanhoe Mines Ltd

-41.2% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for CSU. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-60% to -55%4
-55% to -50%20
-50% to -45%16
-45% to -40%Current5
-40% to -35%38
-35% to -30%13
-30% to -25%18
-25% to -20%95
-20% to -15%264
-15% to -10%443
-10% to -5%1013
-5% to 0%2687
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of CSU's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock CSU's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for CSU.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy CSU at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.