Forex signal
EURUSD

EURUSD

EUR/USD · Foreign Exchange

ForexCurrency PairCCYUSD-27.4% from ATH
Current Price

$1.16

Drawdown from ATH

-27.4%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against EURUSD's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: EURUSD's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-1.31%
May 10Jun 17
About EURUSD

EUR/USD

EUR/USD tracks the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar. It is one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the global forex market, reflecting relative monetary policy, inflation, and economic growth between the two economies.

The reading

How Dipsern reads EURUSD right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is EURUSD doing right now?

In plain terms: EURUSD is 27.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, EUR/USD (EURUSD) is trading in a deep drawdown, 27.4% below its all-time high at $1.16. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for EURUSD specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, EURUSD has spent enough trading days in the 30%-to-25% drawdown band to build a large sample (1799 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for EURUSD

FX pairs rarely drawdown like equities — a 20%+ move is already extreme and usually macro-driven. The Dipsern segmentation still applies but the bands are typically shallower. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other Forex at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to EURUSD's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

EUR/CZK

-27.5% from ATH

USD/PLN

-27.0% from ATH

USD/SGD

-25.8% from ATH

GBP/CAD

-25.5% from ATH

GBP/AUD

-29.4% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for EURUSD. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-55% to -50%4
-50% to -45%94
-45% to -40%195
-40% to -35%767
-35% to -30%1957
-30% to -25%Current1799
-25% to -20%1231
-20% to -15%1866
-15% to -10%2085
-10% to -5%1911
-5% to 0%2281
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of EURUSD's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock EURUSD's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for EURUSD.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy EURUSD at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.