ETFs signal
EWZ

EWZ

iShares MSCI Brazil ETF

ETFsPCXUSD-24.6% from ATH
Current Price

$34.41

Drawdown from ATH

-24.6%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against EWZ's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: EWZ's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-13.35%
May 5Jun 16
About EWZ

iShares MSCI Brazil ETF

The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its underlying index. The index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index designed to measure the performance of the large- and mid- capitalization segments of the equity market in Brazil. The fund is non-diversified.

The reading

How Dipsern reads EWZ right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is EWZ doing right now?

In plain terms: EWZ is 24.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) is trading in a deep drawdown, 24.6% below its all-time high at $34.41. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for EWZ specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

EWZ reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (275 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for EWZ

ETFs aggregate constituent behavior, so their drawdowns tend to be shallower but more persistent than single stocks. The median forward return at a given drawdown level for an ETF is usually a more stable signal than for an individual equity. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other ETFs at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to EWZ's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Procure Space ETF

-24.4% from ATH

iShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF

-23.1% from ATH

Invesco DB Agriculture Fund

-26.5% from ATH

Global X Telemedicine & Digital Health ETF

-22.7% from ATH

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF

-26.7% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for EWZ. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-80% to -75%14
-75% to -70%68
-70% to -65%177
-65% to -60%265
-60% to -55%393
-55% to -50%601
-50% to -45%793
-45% to -40%841
-40% to -35%799
-35% to -30%392
-30% to -25%320
-25% to -20%Current275
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of EWZ's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock EWZ's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for EWZ.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy EWZ at your own broker.

Analyze EWZ Free

No credit card required · 5 free analyses per month

Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.