Crypto signal
FILUSD

FILUSD

Filecoin USD

CryptoCCCUSD-99.6% from ATH
Current Price

$0.823000

Drawdown from ATH

-99.6%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against FILUSD's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: FILUSD's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-12.26%
May 19Jun 17
About FILUSD

Filecoin USD

Filecoin (FIL) is a cryptocurrency launched in 2020. Users are able to generate FIL through the process of mining. Filecoin has a current supply of 1,958,926,966 with 693,790,004 in circulation. The last known price of Filecoin is 2.3431982 USD and is down -0.23 over the last 24 hours. It is currently trading on 637 active market(s) with $198,293,854.77 traded over the last 24 hours. More information can be found at https://filecoin.io/.

The reading

How Dipsern reads FILUSD right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is FILUSD doing right now?

In plain terms: FILUSD is 99.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Filecoin (FILUSD) sits 99.6% off its peak and is currently in a historic crash, last printing at $0.8230. Historic crashes (60%+ drawdowns) are rare events. For some assets they marked generational entries; for others they were warning signs of permanent capital loss.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, FILUSD has spent enough trading days in the 100%-to-95% drawdown band to build a large sample (1394 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for FILUSD

For crypto, drawdown depth is only half the story. The Dipsern signal pairs it with prediction error, so you can see when historical signals at this level were accurate versus when they were noisy. Crash-level drawdowns are tail events with few historical analogs. The signal should be read as "here's what happened the last few times" rather than a base-rate forecast.

Comparable signals

Other Crypto at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to FILUSD's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

dYdX

-99.5% from ATH

Loopring

-99.6% from ATH

Ontology

-99.5% from ATH

Gala

-99.6% from ATH

SKALE

-99.5% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for FILUSD. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-100% to -95%Current1394
-95% to -90%81
-90% to -85%385
-85% to -80%270
-80% to -75%121
-75% to -70%106
-70% to -65%94
-65% to -60%113
-60% to -55%52
-55% to -50%74
-50% to -45%39
-45% to -40%30
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of FILUSD's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock FILUSD's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for FILUSD.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy FILUSD at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.