Indian Stocks signal
HCLTECH

HCLTECH

HCL Technologies Limited · Technology

Indian StocksInformation Technology ServicesNSIINR-38.1% from ATH
Current Price

$1,159.00

Drawdown from ATH

-38.1%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against HCLTECH's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: HCLTECH's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-2.53%
May 6Jun 16
About HCLTECH

HCL Technologies Limited

HCL Technologies Limited provides IT and business services, engineering, research and development services, software products, and IP-led offerings. It operates through IT and Business Services, Engineering and R&D Services, and HCL Software segments. The company provides application development, management, modernization, and testing services, as well as commercial applications; automation services, including digital integration, business process management, robotic process automation for intel

The reading

How Dipsern reads HCLTECH right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is HCLTECH doing right now?

In plain terms: HCLTECH is 38.1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

HCLTECH (HCL Technologies Ltd.) is 38.1% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a severe drawdown, with the last trade at $1,159. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

HCLTECH reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (47 observations), which is a modest sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for HCLTECH

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to HCLTECH's own volatility history. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.

Comparable signals

Other Indian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to HCLTECH's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Ambuja Cements Ltd.

-38.5% from ATH

Jio Financial Services Ltd.

-37.5% from ATH

ITC Ltd.

-38.8% from ATH

REC Ltd.

-39.9% from ATH

Macrotech Developers Ltd.

-40.9% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for HCLTECH. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-75% to -70%8
-70% to -65%47
-65% to -60%33
-60% to -55%24
-55% to -50%24
-50% to -45%25
-45% to -40%38
-40% to -35%Current47
-35% to -30%104
-30% to -25%309
-25% to -20%433
-20% to -15%662
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of HCLTECH's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock HCLTECH's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for HCLTECH.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy HCLTECH at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.