US Stocks signal
HUM

HUM

Humana Inc. · Healthcare

US StocksHealthcare PlansNYQUSD-31.7% from ATH
Current Price

$369.49

Drawdown from ATH

-31.7%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against HUM's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: HUM's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+54.26%
May 5Jun 16
About HUM

Humana Inc.

Humana Inc. provides medical and specialty insurance products in the United States. It operates in two segments, Insurance and CenterWell. The Insurance segment offers individual Medicare Advantage products, including health insurance benefits, including wellness programs, chronic care management, and care coordination; individual Medicare stand-alone prescription drug products (PDP); group Medicare advantage and Medicare stand-alone PDP; Medicare supplements; specialty and ancillary insurance c

The reading

How Dipsern reads HUM right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is HUM doing right now?

In plain terms: HUM is 31.7% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Humana (HUM) is trading in a deep drawdown, 31.7% below its all-time high at $369.49. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for HUM specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, HUM has spent enough trading days in the 35%-to-30% drawdown band to build a large sample (529 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for HUM

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to HUM's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Intuitive Surgical

-31.7% from ATH

Becton Dickinson

-31.4% from ATH

T-Mobile US

-31.3% from ATH

Edwards Lifesciences

-32.2% from ATH

Blackstone Inc.

-32.4% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for HUM. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-90% to -85%1
-85% to -80%45
-80% to -75%156
-75% to -70%172
-70% to -65%290
-65% to -60%301
-60% to -55%391
-55% to -50%356
-50% to -45%438
-45% to -40%421
-40% to -35%487
-35% to -30%Current529
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of HUM's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock HUM's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for HUM.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy HUM at your own broker.

Analyze HUM Free

No credit card required · 5 free analyses per month

Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.