UK Stocks signal
HWDN

HWDN

Howden Joinery Group Plc · Consumer Cyclical

UK StocksFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesLSEGBp-17.8% from ATH
Current Price

$803.50

Drawdown from ATH

-17.8%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against HWDN's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: HWDN's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+3.95%
May 1Jun 15
About HWDN

Howden Joinery Group Plc

Howden Joinery Group Plc supplies various kitchen, joinery, and hardware products in the United Kingdom, France, Belgium, and the Republic of Ireland. The company's product portfolio includes cabinet, worktops, sinks and taps, flooring, appliances, and handles; internal and external doors, such as fire doors, flooring, stair parts, and general joinery items; and cooking, cleaning, and cooling appliances. The company was formerly known as Galiform Plc and changed its name to Howden Joinery Group

The reading

How Dipsern reads HWDN right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is HWDN doing right now?

In plain terms: HWDN is 17.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Howden Joinery Group (HWDN) sits 17.8% off its peak and is currently in a moderate correction, last printing at $803.5. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, HWDN has spent enough trading days in the 20%-to-15% drawdown band to build a large sample (627 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for HWDN

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to HWDN's own volatility history. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other UK Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to HWDN's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Halma plc

-17.6% from ATH

British American Tobacco

-18.5% from ATH

Haleon plc

-19.3% from ATH

DCC plc

-20.4% from ATH

AstraZeneca plc

-15.1% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for HWDN. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-95% to -90%123
-90% to -85%52
-85% to -80%336
-80% to -75%149
-75% to -70%212
-70% to -65%267
-65% to -60%313
-60% to -55%214
-55% to -50%281
-50% to -45%479
-45% to -40%551
-40% to -35%479
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of HWDN's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock HWDN's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for HWDN.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy HWDN at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.