Canadian Stocks signal
IFC

IFC

Intact Financial Corporation · Financial Services

Canadian StocksInsurance - Property & CasualtyTORCAD-11.0% from ATH
Current Price

$277.64

Drawdown from ATH

-11.0%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against IFC's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: IFC's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+7.16%
May 5Jun 16
About IFC

Intact Financial Corporation

Intact Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance products to individuals and businesses in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers insurance, such as personal auto that provides coverage from accidents, third-party liability, and physical damage; personal property which provides protection for homes and belongings from risks, including fire, theft, vandalism, water damages, other damages, and personal liability

The reading

How Dipsern reads IFC right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is IFC doing right now?

In plain terms: IFC is 11% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now IFC — Intact Financial Corp — is in a moderate correction, down 11.0% from its record high. Last price: $277.64. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, IFC has spent enough trading days in the 15%-to-10% drawdown band to build a large sample (394 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for IFC

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to IFC's own volatility history. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for IFC is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.

Comparable signals

Other Canadian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to IFC's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Onex Corp

-11.5% from ATH

CCL Industries Inc

-10.1% from ATH

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd

-12.3% from ATH

Tourmaline Oil Corp

-12.6% from ATH

Magna International Inc

-12.7% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for IFC. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-55% to -50%15
-50% to -45%33
-45% to -40%108
-40% to -35%198
-35% to -30%204
-30% to -25%46
-25% to -20%118
-20% to -15%278
-15% to -10%Current394
-10% to -5%1091
-5% to 0%2853
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of IFC's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock IFC's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for IFC.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy IFC at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.