Canadian Stocks signal
IMO

IMO

Imperial Oil Limited · Energy

Canadian StocksOil & Gas IntegratedTORCAD-4.3% from ATH
Current Price

$181.83

Drawdown from ATH

-4.3%

Last Updated

Sep 19, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against IMO's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: IMO's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+4.37%
Aug 7Sep 18
About IMO

Imperial Oil Limited

Imperial Oil Limited engages in exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas in Canada. The company operates in three segments: Upstream, Downstream and Chemical segments. The Upstream segment explores and produces crude oil, natural gas, synthetic crude oil, and bitumen. The Downstream segment transports and refines crude oil; blends refined products; and distributes and markets refined products. This segment also transports crude oil production and third-party crude oil to re

The reading

How Dipsern reads IMO right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is IMO doing right now?

In plain terms: IMO is 4.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

IMO (Imperial Oil Ltd) is 4.3% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a shallow pullback, with the last trade at $181.83. Shallow pullbacks like this are routine — historically Canadian Stocks assets revisit a 5-10% dip several times a year, and most resolve back to highs within weeks.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for IMO — 2174 confirmed observations in the 5%-to-0% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in canadian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for IMO

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to IMO's own volatility history. Shallow pullbacks are where dip-buying frameworks start to pay off, but only marginally. The median forward return in shallow bands is usually positive but not dramatic.

Comparable signals

Other Canadian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to IMO's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Sun Life Financial Inc

-4.1% from ATH

CCL Industries Inc

-4.0% from ATH

Bank of Montreal

-5.3% from ATH

TMX Group Ltd

-5.3% from ATH

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

-3.2% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for IMO. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-80% to -75%4
-75% to -70%9
-70% to -65%46
-65% to -60%25
-60% to -55%90
-55% to -50%38
-50% to -45%35
-45% to -40%47
-40% to -35%344
-35% to -30%736
-30% to -25%779
-25% to -20%742
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of IMO's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock IMO's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for IMO.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy IMO at your own broker.

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Signal computed Sep 19, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.