Canadian Stocks signal
IMO

IMO

Imperial Oil Limited · Energy

Canadian StocksOil & Gas IntegratedTORCAD-12.9% from ATH
Current Price

$164.92

Drawdown from ATH

-12.9%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against IMO's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: IMO's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-8.83%
May 5Jun 16
About IMO

Imperial Oil Limited

Imperial Oil Limited engages in exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas in Canada. The company operates in three segments: Upstream, Downstream and Chemical segments. The Upstream segment explores and produces crude oil, natural gas, synthetic crude oil, and bitumen. The Downstream segment transports and refines crude oil; blends refined products; and distributes and markets refined products. This segment also transports crude oil production and third-party crude oil to re

The reading

How Dipsern reads IMO right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is IMO doing right now?

In plain terms: IMO is 12.9% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

IMO (Imperial Oil Ltd) is 12.9% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a moderate correction, with the last trade at $164.92. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for IMO — 763 confirmed observations in the 15%-to-10% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in canadian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for IMO

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to IMO's own volatility history. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other Canadian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to IMO's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Metro Inc

-12.7% from ATH

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

-12.7% from ATH

Magna International Inc

-12.7% from ATH

Tourmaline Oil Corp

-12.6% from ATH

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd

-12.3% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for IMO. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-80% to -75%4
-75% to -70%9
-70% to -65%46
-65% to -60%25
-60% to -55%90
-55% to -50%38
-50% to -45%35
-45% to -40%47
-40% to -35%344
-35% to -30%736
-30% to -25%779
-25% to -20%742
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of IMO's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock IMO's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for IMO.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy IMO at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.