Indian Stocks signal
IRFC

IRFC

Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited · Financial Services

Indian StocksCredit ServicesNSIINR-61.2% from ATH
Current Price

$81.50

Drawdown from ATH

-61.2%

Last Updated

Sep 18, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against IRFC's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: IRFC's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-7.91%
Aug 10Sep 18
About IRFC

Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited

Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited engages in leasing of rolling stock and railway infrastructure assets in India. The company also engages in lending business; and borrowing funds from commercial markets, financial markets to finance the acquisition/creation of assets that are leased out to the Indian Railways. Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in New Delhi, India.

The reading

How Dipsern reads IRFC right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is IRFC doing right now?

In plain terms: IRFC is 61.2% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now IRFC — Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. — is in a historic crash, down 61.2% from its record high. Last price: $81.5. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Historical data for IRFC at this exact drawdown band (65% to 60% below ATH) is thin — fewer than five observations. That means any forward-return forecast at this level carries meaningful uncertainty. Dipsern flags this so you know when the signal is statistically robust and when it isn't.

Interpretation

What this means for IRFC

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to IRFC's own volatility history. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.

Comparable signals

Other Indian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to IRFC's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Life Insurance Corporation of India

-65.2% from ATH

Trent Ltd.

-65.7% from ATH

Vedanta Ltd.

-66.0% from ATH

Adani Green Energy Ltd.

-55.1% from ATH

Bajaj Housing Finance Ltd.

-52.8% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for IRFC. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-60% to -55%9
-55% to -50%60
-50% to -45%51
-45% to -40%139
-40% to -35%72
-35% to -30%68
-30% to -25%43
-25% to -20%70
-20% to -15%141
-15% to -10%224
-10% to -5%281
-5% to 0%175
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of IRFC's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock IRFC's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for IRFC.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy IRFC at your own broker.

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Signal computed Sep 18, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.