Brazilian Stocks signal
ITUB4

ITUB4

Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. · Financial Services

Brazilian StocksBanks - RegionalSAOBRL-17.3% from ATH
Current Price

$40.45

Drawdown from ATH

-17.3%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against ITUB4's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: ITUB4's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-4.73%
May 5Jun 16
About ITUB4

Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A.

Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. provides various financial products and services to personal and corporate customers in Brazil and internationally. It operates through three segments: Retail Business, Wholesale Business and Activities with the Market + Corporation. The company offers current accounts; funds management; payments and collections; loans; credit and debit cards; investment and commercial banking services; real estate lending and financing services; economic, financial and brokerage advis

The reading

How Dipsern reads ITUB4 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is ITUB4 doing right now?

In plain terms: ITUB4 is 17.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Itau Unibanco Holding SA (ITUB4) is trading in a moderate correction, 17.3% below its all-time high at $40.45. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

ITUB4 reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (776 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for ITUB4

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to ITUB4's own volatility history. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for ITUB4 is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.

Comparable signals

Other Brazilian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to ITUB4's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Banco Bradesco SA

-17.3% from ATH

Equatorial Energia SA

-17.1% from ATH

CPFL Energia SA

-16.3% from ATH

Vibra Energia SA

-18.4% from ATH

Itausa SA

-14.3% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ITUB4. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-60% to -55%2
-55% to -50%2
-50% to -45%10
-45% to -40%75
-40% to -35%180
-35% to -30%285
-30% to -25%450
-25% to -20%568
-20% to -15%Current776
-15% to -10%1102
-10% to -5%1126
-5% to 0%1750
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of ITUB4's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock ITUB4's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ITUB4.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ITUB4 at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.