US Stocks signal
KHC

KHC

The Kraft Heinz Company · Consumer Defensive

US StocksPackaged FoodsNMSUSD-62.2% from ATH
Current Price

$23.80

Drawdown from ATH

-62.2%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against KHC's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: KHC's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+5.59%
May 5Jun 16
About KHC

The Kraft Heinz Company

The Kraft Heinz Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products in North America and internationally. Its products include condiments, sauces, dressings, and spreads; cheese, frozen potato products, and other frozen meals; meal kits, frozen snacks, and pickles; dry packaged desserts, refrigerated ready to eat desserts, and other dessert toppings; ready to drink and powdered beverages, and liquid concentrates; American sliced and recipe cheeses; mainst

The reading

How Dipsern reads KHC right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is KHC doing right now?

In plain terms: KHC is 62.2% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now KHC — Kraft Heinz — is in a historic crash, down 62.2% from its record high. Last price: $23.8. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, KHC has spent enough trading days in the 65%-to-60% drawdown band to build a large sample (389 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for KHC

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to KHC's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Builders FirstSource

-62.7% from ATH

Aptiv

-63.1% from ATH

Brown–Forman

-63.8% from ATH

Okta, Inc.

-60.2% from ATH

PDD Holdings

-59.8% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for KHC. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-80% to -75%2
-75% to -70%34
-70% to -65%117
-65% to -60%Current389
-60% to -55%287
-55% to -50%480
-50% to -45%471
-45% to -40%78
-40% to -35%87
-35% to -30%65
-30% to -25%20
-25% to -20%11
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of KHC's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock KHC's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for KHC.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy KHC at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.