US Stocks signal
LMT

LMT

Lockheed Martin Corporation · Industrials

US StocksAerospace & DefenseNYQUSD-20.8% from ATH
Current Price

$535.95

Drawdown from ATH

-20.8%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against LMT's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: LMT's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+5.31%
May 5Jun 16
About LMT

Lockheed Martin Corporation

Lockheed Martin Corporation, an aerospace and defense company, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of technology systems, products, and services in the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Aeronautics; Missiles and Fire Control (MFC); Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS); and Space. The Aeronautics segment offers combat and air mobility aircraft, unmanned air vehicles, and re

The reading

How Dipsern reads LMT right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is LMT doing right now?

In plain terms: LMT is 20.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

LMT (Lockheed Martin) is 20.8% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a deep drawdown, with the last trade at $535.95. Deep drawdowns shift the conversation from "is this a buy" to "what's broken". Sometimes it's macro. Sometimes it's the asset itself. Dipsern's data tells you which one history rewarded.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for LMT — 897 confirmed observations in the 25%-to-20% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for LMT

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for LMT reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Deep drawdowns require a story for why this time isn't different. The Dipsern signal can tell you what historically happened next; it can't tell you whether the current setup matches the historical analog.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to LMT's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Apollo Global Management

-20.7% from ATH

Southwest Airlines

-20.6% from ATH

McKesson Corporation

-21.1% from ATH

Capital One

-21.6% from ATH

Cintas

-21.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for LMT. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-100% to -95%6
-95% to -90%447
-90% to -85%685
-85% to -80%619
-80% to -75%260
-75% to -70%143
-70% to -65%289
-65% to -60%206
-60% to -55%222
-55% to -50%251
-50% to -45%242
-45% to -40%250
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of LMT's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock LMT's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for LMT.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy LMT at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.