European Stocks signal
NOVN

NOVN

Novartis AG · Healthcare

European StocksDrug Manufacturers - GeneralEBSCHF-12.4% from ATH
Current Price

$115.10

Drawdown from ATH

-12.4%

Last Updated

Sep 19, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against NOVN's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: NOVN's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-9.23%
Aug 10Sep 18
About NOVN

Novartis AG

Novartis AG researches, develops, manufactures, distributes, markets, and sells pharmaceutical medicines in Switzerland and internationally. The company offers Entresto, an angiotensin receptorneprilysin inhibitor to treat symptomatic chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF); Cosentyx to treat plaque psoriasis, pso riatic arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, and nonradiographic axial spondy loarthritis; Kisqali, a selective oral cyclin dependent inhibitor of kinases 4 and 6 (CD

The reading

How Dipsern reads NOVN right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is NOVN doing right now?

In plain terms: NOVN is 12.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Novartis AG (NOVN) sits 12.4% off its peak and is currently in a moderate correction, last printing at $115.1. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for NOVN — 1275 confirmed observations in the 15%-to-10% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in european stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for NOVN

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to NOVN's own volatility history. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other European Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to NOVN's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Daimler Truck Holding AG

-12.3% from ATH

Thales SA

-12.4% from ATH

Industria de Diseno Textil SA

-12.5% from ATH

Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE

-12.1% from ATH

Muenchener Rueckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG

-12.8% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for NOVN. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-45% to -40%7
-40% to -35%87
-35% to -30%109
-30% to -25%444
-25% to -20%730
-20% to -15%1274
-15% to -10%Current1275
-10% to -5%1561
-5% to 0%2468
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of NOVN's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock NOVN's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for NOVN.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy NOVN at your own broker.

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Signal computed Sep 19, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.