Australian Stocks signal
NST

NST

Northern Star Resources Limited · Basic Materials

Australian StocksGoldASXAUD-30.5% from ATH
Current Price

$21.86

Drawdown from ATH

-30.5%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against NST's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: NST's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+5.15%
May 6Jun 17
About NST

Northern Star Resources Limited

Northern Star Resources Limited engages in the exploration, development, mining, and processing of gold deposits. The company also sells refined gold. It operates in Western Australia, the Northern Territory, and Alaska. Northern Star Resources Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia.

The reading

How Dipsern reads NST right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is NST doing right now?

In plain terms: NST is 30.5% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

NST (Northern Star Resources Ltd.) is 30.5% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a deep drawdown, with the last trade at $21.86. Deep drawdowns shift the conversation from "is this a buy" to "what's broken". Sometimes it's macro. Sometimes it's the asset itself. Dipsern's data tells you which one history rewarded.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, NST has spent enough trading days in the 35%-to-30% drawdown band to build a large sample (329 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for NST

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to NST's own volatility history. Deep drawdowns require a story for why this time isn't different. The Dipsern signal can tell you what historically happened next; it can't tell you whether the current setup matches the historical analog.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to NST's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Aristocrat Leisure Ltd.

-30.4% from ATH

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd.

-30.0% from ATH

Light & Wonder Inc.

-29.8% from ATH

Orica Ltd.

-28.8% from ATH

Westgold Resources Ltd.

-32.8% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for NST. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-100% to -95%7
-95% to -90%74
-90% to -85%123
-85% to -80%118
-80% to -75%57
-75% to -70%50
-70% to -65%112
-65% to -60%127
-60% to -55%160
-55% to -50%179
-50% to -45%294
-45% to -40%575
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of NST's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock NST's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for NST.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy NST at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.