Okta, Inc.
$118.72
-59.3%
Jun 8, 2026
C
MarginalThree plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
Okta, Inc. (OKTA) sits 59.3% off its peak and is currently in a severe drawdown, last printing at $118.72. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.
Across all available history, OKTA has spent enough trading days in the 60%-to-55% drawdown band to build a modest sample (22 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.
S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for OKTA reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.
Five tickers closest to OKTA's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for OKTA. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of OKTA's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and AI-powered interpretation for OKTA.
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Signal computed Jun 8, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.