US Stocks signal
RTX

RTX

RTX Corporation · Industrials

US StocksAerospace & DefenseNYQUSD-0.1% from ATH
Current Price

$223.86

Drawdown from ATH

-0.1%

Last Updated

Aug 12, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against RTX's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: RTX's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+17.99%
Jun 30Aug 11
About RTX

RTX Corporation

RTX Corporation, an aerospace and defense company, provides systems and services for commercial, military, and government customers worldwide. It operates through three segments: Collins Aerospace (Collins), Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon. The Collins segment offers aerospace and defense products, and aftermarket services for civil and military aircraft manufacturers and commercial airlines, as well as regional, business, and general aviation, defense, and commercial space operations. This segmen

The reading

How Dipsern reads RTX right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is RTX doing right now?

In plain terms: RTX is 0.1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now RTX — RTX Corporation — is at or near all-time highs, down 0.1% from its record high. Last price: $223.86. When an asset is this close to highs, drawdown signals are mostly noise — the more useful question is whether the next 5-10% pullback will be bought aggressively.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for RTX — 4831 confirmed observations in the 5%-to-0% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for RTX

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. Use this snapshot to set expectations: this is where the asset is, not where it's likely to go. Drawdown-based signals only become high-conviction below shallow-pullback territory.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to RTX's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Electronic Arts

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3M

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Vertex Pharmaceuticals

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Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for RTX. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-80% to -75%3
-75% to -70%163
-70% to -65%446
-65% to -60%333
-60% to -55%299
-55% to -50%138
-50% to -45%140
-45% to -40%256
-40% to -35%483
-35% to -30%591
-30% to -25%815
-25% to -20%1118
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of RTX's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock RTX's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for RTX.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy RTX at your own broker.

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Signal computed Aug 12, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.