Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF
$36.52
-1.8%
Jun 17, 2026
D
WeakGraded against SCHE's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: SCHE's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
The fund generally invests in stocks that are included in the FTSE Emerging Index. The index is comprised of large and mid capitalization companies in emerging market countries, as defined by the index provider. The fund will invest at least 90% of its net assets (including, for this purpose, any borrowings for investment purposes) in these stocks, including depositary receipts representing securities of the index; such depositary receipts may be in the form of ADRs, GDRs and EDRs.
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: SCHE is 1.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF (SCHE) sits 1.8% off its peak and is currently at or near all-time highs, last printing at $36.52. That puts SCHE in a momentum regime: buyers are in control and there's no meaningful technical damage on the chart yet.
History at this drawdown level is well-populated for SCHE — 788 confirmed observations in the 5%-to-0% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in etfs return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.
For broad-index ETFs the historical base rate is exceptionally stable; for narrow thematic ETFs (e.g., ARKK, cannabis, leveraged), drawdowns are deeper and the sample size at each band is smaller. At this level the Dipsern signal is mostly tracking momentum, not mean reversion. Most buying-the-dip frameworks aren't relevant when there is no dip.
Five tickers closest to SCHE's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
-1.7% from ATH
FlexShares STOXX Global Broad Infrastructure Index Fund
-1.7% from ATH
SPDR Portfolio Emerging Markets ETF
-1.6% from ATH
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
-2.0% from ATH
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
-1.5% from ATH
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for SCHE. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of SCHE's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for SCHE.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy SCHE at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.