Australian Stocks signal
SFR

SFR

Sandfire Resources Limited · Basic Materials

Australian StocksCopperASXAUD0.0% from ATH
Current Price

$21.48

Drawdown from ATH

0.0%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against SFR's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: SFR's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+26.73%
May 6Jun 17
About SFR

Sandfire Resources Limited

Sandfire Resources Limited, a mining company, explores for, evaluates, and develops mineral tenements and projects. It primarily explores for copper, gold, silver, lead, and zinc deposits. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

The reading

How Dipsern reads SFR right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is SFR doing right now?

In plain terms: SFR is 0% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

SFR (Sandfire Resources Ltd.) is 0.0% below its historical peak. Tape reads at or near all-time highs, with the last trade at $21.48. That puts SFR in a momentum regime: buyers are in control and there's no meaningful technical damage on the chart yet.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for SFR — 578 confirmed observations in the 5%-to-0% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in australian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for SFR

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to SFR's own volatility history. At this level the Dipsern signal is mostly tracking momentum, not mean reversion. Most buying-the-dip frameworks aren't relevant when there is no dip.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to SFR's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

BHP Group Ltd.

0.0% from ATH

Macquarie Group Ltd.

0.0% from ATH

QUBE Holdings Ltd.

-0.4% from ATH

Washington H. Soul Pattinson & Co. Ltd.

-0.8% from ATH

Woolworths Group Ltd.

-0.9% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for SFR. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-100% to -95%15
-95% to -90%108
-90% to -85%17
-85% to -80%55
-80% to -75%73
-75% to -70%68
-70% to -65%114
-65% to -60%128
-60% to -55%96
-55% to -50%276
-50% to -45%215
-45% to -40%288
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of SFR's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock SFR's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for SFR.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy SFR at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.