Australian Stocks signal
SGH

SGH

SGH Limited

Australian StocksASXAUD-32.3% from ATH
Current Price

$36.91

Drawdown from ATH

-32.3%

Last Updated

Sep 19, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against SGH's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: SGH's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-19.68%
Aug 10Sep 18
The reading

How Dipsern reads SGH right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is SGH doing right now?

In plain terms: SGH is 32.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, SGH Ltd. (SGH) is trading in a deep drawdown, 32.3% below its all-time high at $36.91. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for SGH specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Historical data for SGH at this exact drawdown band (35% to 30% below ATH) is thin — fewer than five observations. That means any forward-return forecast at this level carries meaningful uncertainty. Dipsern flags this so you know when the signal is statistically robust and when it isn't.

Interpretation

What this means for SGH

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to SGH's own volatility history. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to SGH's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Fortescue Ltd.

-32.9% from ATH

Goodman Group

-33.1% from ATH

ASX Ltd.

-31.5% from ATH

Westgold Resources Ltd.

-31.3% from ATH

Technology One Ltd.

-31.2% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for SGH. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-35% to -30%Current1
-30% to -25%36
-25% to -20%45
-20% to -15%64
-15% to -10%93
-10% to -5%111
-5% to 0%82
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of SGH's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock SGH's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for SGH.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy SGH at your own broker.

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Signal computed Sep 19, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.