Canadian Stocks signal
SJ

SJ

Stella-Jones Inc. · Basic Materials

Canadian StocksLumber & Wood ProductionTORCAD-30.4% from ATH
Current Price

$69.46

Drawdown from ATH

-30.4%

Last Updated

Sep 19, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against SJ's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: SJ's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-9.39%
Aug 7Sep 18
About SJ

Stella-Jones Inc.

Stella-Jones Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells industrial pressure-treated wood products in Canada and the United States. It operates through two segments, Pressure-Treated Wood; and Logs and Lumber. The company offers wood utility poles, railway ties, residential lumber; and industrial products, such as timbers for railway bridges, crossings and construction, marine and foundation pilings, and coal tar-based products. It also sells logs, as well as excess lumber to lo

The reading

How Dipsern reads SJ right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is SJ doing right now?

In plain terms: SJ is 30.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

SJ (Stella-Jones Inc) is 30.4% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a deep drawdown, with the last trade at $69.46. Deep drawdowns shift the conversation from "is this a buy" to "what's broken". Sometimes it's macro. Sometimes it's the asset itself. Dipsern's data tells you which one history rewarded.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, SJ has spent enough trading days in the 35%-to-30% drawdown band to build a large sample (441 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for SJ

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to SJ's own volatility history. Deep drawdowns require a story for why this time isn't different. The Dipsern signal can tell you what historically happened next; it can't tell you whether the current setup matches the historical analog.

Comparable signals

Other Canadian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to SJ's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

CAE Inc

-30.9% from ATH

Cameco Corp

-29.5% from ATH

Aritzia Inc

-29.0% from ATH

Celestica Inc

-28.8% from ATH

BRP Inc

-32.5% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for SJ. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-75% to -70%12
-70% to -65%46
-65% to -60%57
-60% to -55%22
-55% to -50%134
-50% to -45%63
-45% to -40%236
-40% to -35%264
-35% to -30%Current441
-30% to -25%784
-25% to -20%840
-20% to -15%920
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of SJ's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock SJ's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for SJ.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy SJ at your own broker.

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Signal computed Sep 19, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.