Australian Stocks signal
TLC

TLC

The Lottery Corporation Limited · Consumer Cyclical

Australian StocksGamblingASXAUD-4.5% from ATH
Current Price

$5.62

Drawdown from ATH

-4.5%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against TLC's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: TLC's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+6.24%
May 6Jun 17
About TLC

The Lottery Corporation Limited

The Lottery Corporation Limited engages in provision of gaming services in Australia. It operates lottery and Keno games under The Lott and Keno brand names. The company was founded in 1881 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.

The reading

How Dipsern reads TLC right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is TLC doing right now?

In plain terms: TLC is 4.5% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

TLC (Lottery Corporation Ltd.) is 4.5% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a shallow pullback, with the last trade at $5.62. Shallow pullbacks like this are routine — historically Australian Stocks assets revisit a 5-10% dip several times a year, and most resolve back to highs within weeks.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

TLC reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (477 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for TLC

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to TLC's own volatility history. Shallow pullbacks are where dip-buying frameworks start to pay off, but only marginally. The median forward return in shallow bands is usually positive but not dramatic.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to TLC's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Downer EDI Ltd.

-4.5% from ATH

Medibank Private Ltd.

-4.3% from ATH

BlueScope Steel Ltd.

-4.2% from ATH

PLS Group Ltd.

-4.1% from ATH

Transurban Group

-5.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for TLC. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-20% to -15%27
-15% to -10%132
-10% to -5%333
-5% to 0%Current477
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of TLC's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock TLC's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for TLC.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy TLC at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.