TLT

Cautious

TLT · ETFs

Current Price

$85.83

Drawdown from ATH

-41.0%

Median 90-Day Return

-1.1%

Win Rate

39%

Prediction Error

±6.1%

Last Updated

Mar 21, 2026

What This Means

TLT is currently -41.0% below its all-time high. Based on historical analysis of similar drawdown levels, the median forward return over the next 90 days is -1.1%, with a win rate of 39% (the percentage of similar historical episodes that resulted in positive returns). The prediction error of \u00B16.1% indicates how far off the forecast has typically been.

Historical analysis based on 40+ years of data. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Signal computed Mar 21, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data updates daily at 5 AM UTC.