Tourmaline Oil Corp. · Energy
$59.83
-13.9%
Jul 5, 2026
D
WeakGraded against TOU's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: TOU's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
Tourmaline Oil Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas properties in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. The company holds interests in properties located in the Alberta Deep Basin, Northeast British Columbia Montney, and the Peace River High Triassic oil complex. Tourmaline Oil Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: TOU is 13.9% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
Right now TOU — Tourmaline Oil Corp — is in a moderate correction, down 13.9% from its record high. Last price: $59.83. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.
TOU reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (419 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.
Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to TOU's own volatility history. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for TOU is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.
Five tickers closest to TOU's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for TOU. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of TOU's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for TOU.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy TOU at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jul 5, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.