Spin Master Corp. · Consumer Cyclical
$21.15
-62.4%
Jul 5, 2026
C
MarginalGraded against TOY's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: TOY's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
Spin Master Corp., a children's entertainment company, engages in the creation, design, manufacture, licensing, and marketing of various toys, entertainment products, and digital games in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Toys, Entertainment and Digital Games. The Toys segment offers preschool, infant and toddler and plush; activities, games & puzzles and dolls and interactive; wheels and action; and outdoor products. The Entertainment segment engage
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: TOY is 62.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
Right now TOY — Spin Master Corp — is in a historic crash, down 62.4% from its record high. Last price: $21.15. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.
History at this drawdown level is well-populated for TOY — 108 confirmed observations in the 65%-to-60% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in canadian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.
Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to TOY's own volatility history. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.
Five tickers closest to TOY's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for TOY. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of TOY's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for TOY.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy TOY at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jul 5, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.