European Stocks signal
UBSG

UBSG

UBS Group AG · Financial Services

European StocksBanks - DiversifiedEBSCHF-18.1% from ATH
Current Price

$40.18

Drawdown from ATH

-18.1%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against UBSG's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: UBSG's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+17.42%
May 4Jun 16
About UBSG

UBS Group AG

UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking, Asset Management, Investment Bank, and Non-Core and Legacy. The Global Wealth Management segment offers financial services, advice, and solutions; investment management, estate planning, and corporate advice services; and wealth management and banking products and services to private wealth and institutional customers. Its Personal & Corporate B

The reading

How Dipsern reads UBSG right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is UBSG doing right now?

In plain terms: UBSG is 18.1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

UBS Group AG (UBSG) sits 18.1% off its peak and is currently in a moderate correction, last printing at $40.18. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

UBSG reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (277 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for UBSG

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to UBSG's own volatility history. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other European Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to UBSG's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

MTU Aero Engines AG

-18.2% from ATH

Moncler SpA

-17.9% from ATH

Redeia Corporacion SA

-18.3% from ATH

BASF SE

-17.0% from ATH

Mercedes-Benz Group AG

-19.2% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for UBSG. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-90% to -85%300
-85% to -80%1013
-80% to -75%1622
-75% to -70%610
-70% to -65%241
-65% to -60%82
-60% to -55%114
-55% to -50%164
-50% to -45%251
-45% to -40%169
-40% to -35%345
-35% to -30%322
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of UBSG's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock UBSG's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for UBSG.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy UBSG at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.