Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets Index Fund ETF Shares
$71.38
-3.3%
Sep 19, 2026
D
WeakGraded against VEA's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: VEA's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the FTSE Developed All Cap ex U.S. Index, a market-capitalization-weighted index that is made up of approximately 3,957 common stocks of large-, mid-, and small-cap companies located in Canada and the major markets of Europe and the Pacific region. The Advisor attempts to replicate the target index by investing all, or substantially all, of its assets in the stocks that make up the index, holding each stock in
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: VEA is 3.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
Right now VEA — Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF — is in a shallow pullback, down 3.3% from its record high. Last price: $71.38. A move of this size is statistically unremarkable. It's the kind of pullback that bounces fast or extends into a deeper correction; the next leg is what matters.
Historical data for VEA at this exact drawdown band (0% to 5% below ATH) is thin — fewer than five observations. That means any forward-return forecast at this level carries meaningful uncertainty. Dipsern flags this so you know when the signal is statistically robust and when it isn't.
ETFs aggregate constituent behavior, so their drawdowns tend to be shallower but more persistent than single stocks. The median forward return at a given drawdown level for an ETF is usually a more stable signal than for an individual equity. This drawdown band tends to mean-revert quickly. The Dipsern win rate here is informative — if it's well above 50%, momentum traders treat these dips as buy-the-pullback setups.
We segment 40+ years of VEA's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for VEA.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy VEA at your own broker.
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Signal computed Sep 19, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.