XLP

Neutral

XLP · ETFs

Current Price

$81.29

Drawdown from ATH

-9.7%

Median 90-Day Return

+3.8%

Win Rate

71%

Prediction Error

±4.7%

Last Updated

Mar 21, 2026

What This Means

XLP is currently -9.7% below its all-time high. Based on historical analysis of similar drawdown levels, the median forward return over the next 90 days is +3.8%, with a win rate of 71% (the percentage of similar historical episodes that resulted in positive returns). The prediction error of \u00B14.7% indicates how far off the forecast has typically been.

Historical analysis based on 40+ years of data. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Signal computed Mar 21, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data updates daily at 5 AM UTC.