Australian Stocks signal
XRO

XRO

Xero Limited · Technology

Australian StocksSoftware - ApplicationASXAUD-62.2% from ATH
Current Price

$73.38

Drawdown from ATH

-62.2%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against XRO's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: XRO's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-14.50%
May 6Jun 17
About XRO

Xero Limited

Xero Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides online business solutions for small businesses and their advisors in Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, North America, and internationally. It offers accounting, payroll, payments and other solutions through its Xero platform. The company also provides Planday, an online employee scheduling software; Hubdoc for bills and receipts; Syft, which creates reports, forecasts, dashboards, and consolidations with AI insights; TaxCycle, a ta

The reading

How Dipsern reads XRO right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is XRO doing right now?

In plain terms: XRO is 62.2% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Xero Ltd. (XRO) sits 62.2% off its peak and is currently in a historic crash, last printing at $73.38. Historic crashes (60%+ drawdowns) are rare events. For some assets they marked generational entries; for others they were warning signs of permanent capital loss.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for XRO — 233 confirmed observations in the 65%-to-60% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in australian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for XRO

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to XRO's own volatility history. Crash-level drawdowns are tail events with few historical analogs. The signal should be read as "here's what happened the last few times" rather than a base-rate forecast.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to XRO's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Bank of Queensland Ltd.

-64.4% from ATH

Cleanaway Waste Management Ltd.

-64.8% from ATH

Life360 Inc.

-58.9% from ATH

CSL Ltd.

-65.7% from ATH

Seek Ltd.

-57.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for XRO. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-75% to -70%16
-70% to -65%90
-65% to -60%Current233
-60% to -55%282
-55% to -50%168
-50% to -45%109
-45% to -40%238
-40% to -35%111
-35% to -30%109
-30% to -25%212
-25% to -20%194
-20% to -15%203
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of XRO's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock XRO's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for XRO.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy XRO at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.