Australian Stocks signal
ALX

ALX

Atlas Arteria Limited · Industrials

Australian StocksInfrastructure OperationsASXAUD-10.5% from ATH
Current Price

$5.11

Drawdown from ATH

-10.5%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against ALX's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: ALX's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+6.02%
May 6Jun 17
About ALX

Atlas Arteria Limited

Atlas Arteria Limited owns, develops, and operates toll roads in France, Germany, Australia, Bermuda, and the United States. It holds 30.82% interest in the APRR motorway network, 30.85% interest in the ADELAC commuter road, and 30.79% interest in the A79 transversal link located in France; 100% interest in the Warnow Tunnel located in Rostock, Germany; 66.67% interest in the Chicago Skyway situated in Chicago, United States; and 100% interest in the Dulles Greenway located in Virginia, United S

The reading

How Dipsern reads ALX right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is ALX doing right now?

In plain terms: ALX is 10.5% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Atlas Arteria (ALX) sits 10.5% off its peak and is currently in a moderate correction, last printing at $5.11. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for ALX — 459 confirmed observations in the 15%-to-10% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in australian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for ALX

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to ALX's own volatility history. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to ALX's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

ALS Ltd.

-10.3% from ATH

Challenger Ltd.

-9.6% from ATH

South32 Ltd.

-11.5% from ATH

Wesfarmers Ltd.

-9.0% from ATH

Commonwealth Bank of Australia

-12.2% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ALX. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-50% to -45%1
-45% to -40%4
-40% to -35%36
-35% to -30%117
-30% to -25%341
-25% to -20%635
-20% to -15%653
-15% to -10%Current459
-10% to -5%719
-5% to 0%1120
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of ALX's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock ALX's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ALX.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ALX at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.