MGR

How is MGR doing right now?

In plain terms: MGR is 35.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Mirvac Group (MGR) is trading in a severe drawdown, 35.3% below its all-time high at $1.76. Severe drawdowns separate structurally sound assets from the ones that don't recover. The historical data below shows what MGR did after similar episodes.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for MGR — 347 confirmed observations in the 40%-to-35% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in australian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for MGR

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to MGR's own volatility history. At this depth, focus on prediction error and sample size before median return. A high historical median return at -40% means nothing if the prediction error was also 30%.