Cogna Educação S.A. · Consumer Defensive
$2.30
-86.6%
Jun 17, 2026
C
MarginalGraded against COGN3's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: COGN3's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
Cogna Educação S.A. operates as an educational organization in Brazil and internationally. It operates through three segments: Kroton, Vasta, and Saber. The company provides in-person and distance learning for higher education and postgraduate courses; and editing, marketing, and distribution of textbooks, paradidactic books and handouts. It also offers basic education, pre-university preparatory courses, and language courses; educational solutions for technical and higher education; and complem
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: COGN3 is 86.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
As of the latest market close, Cogna Educacao SA (COGN3) is trading in a historic crash, 86.6% below its all-time high at $2.3. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.
History at this drawdown level is well-populated for COGN3 — 602 confirmed observations in the 90%-to-85% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in brazilian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.
Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to COGN3's own volatility history. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.
Five tickers closest to COGN3's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for COGN3. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of COGN3's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for COGN3.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy COGN3 at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.