Brazilian Stocks signal
CSAN3

CSAN3

Cosan S.A. · Energy

Brazilian StocksOil & Gas Refining & MarketingSAOBRL-86.7% from ATH
Current Price

$3.27

Drawdown from ATH

-86.7%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against CSAN3's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: CSAN3's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-38.19%
May 5Jun 16
About CSAN3

Cosan S.A.

Cosan S.A. engages in the fuel distribution business. It operates through Raízen, Compass, Moove, Rumo, and Radar segments. The company's Raízen segment engages in the production, commercialization, origination, and trading of sugar, as well as ethanol under the Shell brand; production and commercialization of bioenergy; trading and resale of electricity; and distribution and commercialization of fuels and lubricants. Its Compass segment distributes piped natural gas to industrial, residential,

The reading

How Dipsern reads CSAN3 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is CSAN3 doing right now?

In plain terms: CSAN3 is 86.7% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now CSAN3 — Cosan SA — is in a historic crash, down 86.7% from its record high. Last price: $3.27. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Historical data for CSAN3 at this exact drawdown band (90% to 85% below ATH) is thin — fewer than five observations. That means any forward-return forecast at this level carries meaningful uncertainty. Dipsern flags this so you know when the signal is statistically robust and when it isn't.

Interpretation

What this means for CSAN3

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to CSAN3's own volatility history. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.

Comparable signals

Other Brazilian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to CSAN3's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Cogna Educacao SA

-86.6% from ATH

Eneva SA

-87.7% from ATH

Locaweb Servicos de Internet SA

-88.1% from ATH

Companhia Siderurgica Nacional SA

-82.2% from ATH

Yduqs Participacoes SA

-81.9% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for CSAN3. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-90% to -85%Current2
-85% to -80%111
-80% to -75%177
-75% to -70%140
-70% to -65%201
-65% to -60%230
-60% to -55%365
-55% to -50%295
-50% to -45%270
-45% to -40%324
-40% to -35%330
-35% to -30%345
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of CSAN3's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock CSAN3's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for CSAN3.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy CSAN3 at your own broker.

Analyze CSAN3 Free

No credit card required · 5 free analyses per month

Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.