CYRE3

How is CYRE3 doing right now?

In plain terms: CYRE3 is 38.9% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now CYRE3 — Cyrela Brazil Realty SA — is in a severe drawdown, down 38.9% from its record high. Last price: $21.58. Severe drawdowns separate structurally sound assets from the ones that don't recover. The historical data below shows what CYRE3 did after similar episodes.

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, CYRE3 has spent enough trading days in the 40%-to-35% drawdown band to build a large sample (418 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

What this means for CYRE3

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to CYRE3's own volatility history. At this depth, focus on prediction error and sample size before median return. A high historical median return at -40% means nothing if the prediction error was also 30%.