Brazilian Stocks signal
ITSA4

ITSA4

Itaúsa S.A. · Industrials

Brazilian StocksConglomeratesSAOBRL-14.3% from ATH
Current Price

$12.86

Drawdown from ATH

-14.3%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against ITSA4's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: ITSA4's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-5.86%
May 5Jun 16
About ITSA4

Itaúsa S.A.

Itaúsa S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates a banking institution in Brazil and internationally. It operates through Dexco, Itaúsa, and Other segments. The company offers credit products, credit cards, asset management, investments, private banking, insurance, pension plans, and other financial services to individual and corporate clients. It also engages in the operation of platforms for highways, subways, trains, light rail, ferries, and airports; the distribution of LPG; and the transport

The reading

How Dipsern reads ITSA4 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is ITSA4 doing right now?

In plain terms: ITSA4 is 14.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

ITSA4 (Itausa SA) is 14.3% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a moderate correction, with the last trade at $12.86. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, ITSA4 has spent enough trading days in the 15%-to-10% drawdown band to build a large sample (1100 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for ITSA4

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to ITSA4's own volatility history. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other Brazilian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to ITSA4's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

CPFL Energia SA

-16.3% from ATH

Equatorial Energia SA

-17.1% from ATH

Itau Unibanco Holding SA

-17.3% from ATH

Banco Bradesco SA

-17.3% from ATH

Taesa SA

-11.0% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ITSA4. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-70% to -65%2
-65% to -60%2
-60% to -55%5
-55% to -50%31
-50% to -45%41
-45% to -40%64
-40% to -35%149
-35% to -30%278
-30% to -25%522
-25% to -20%654
-20% to -15%743
-15% to -10%Current1100
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of ITSA4's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock ITSA4's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ITSA4.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ITSA4 at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.