Canadian Stocks signal
FNV

FNV

Franco-Nevada Corporation · Basic Materials

Canadian StocksGoldTORCAD-2.4% from ATH
Current Price

$373.80

Drawdown from ATH

-2.4%

Last Updated

Sep 19, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against FNV's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: FNV's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Price history unavailable
About FNV

Franco-Nevada Corporation

Franco-Nevada Corporation operates as a royalty and stream company focused on precious metals in South America, Central America, Mexico, the United States, Canada, Australia, Europe, and Africa. It operates through Precious Metals, Other Mining and Energy segments. The company manages its portfolio with a focus on precious metals, such as gold, silver, and platinum group metals; and engages in the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids through a third-party marketing agent. Fran

The reading

How Dipsern reads FNV right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is FNV doing right now?

In plain terms: FNV is 2.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now FNV — Franco-Nevada Corp — is in a shallow pullback, down 2.4% from its record high. Last price: $373.8. A move of this size is statistically unremarkable. It's the kind of pullback that bounces fast or extends into a deeper correction; the next leg is what matters.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, FNV has spent enough trading days in the 5%-to-0% drawdown band to build a large sample (1182 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for FNV

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to FNV's own volatility history. This drawdown band tends to mean-revert quickly. The Dipsern win rate here is informative — if it's well above 50%, momentum traders treat these dips as buy-the-pullback setups.

Comparable signals

Other Canadian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to FNV's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Toronto-Dominion Bank

-2.2% from ATH

Suncor Energy Inc

-2.9% from ATH

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

-3.2% from ATH

Power Corp of Canada

-1.4% from ATH

Manulife Financial Corp

-1.4% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for FNV. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-50% to -45%4
-45% to -40%11
-40% to -35%38
-35% to -30%119
-30% to -25%239
-25% to -20%502
-20% to -15%747
-15% to -10%907
-10% to -5%905
-5% to 0%Current1182
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of FNV's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock FNV's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for FNV.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy FNV at your own broker.

Analyze FNV Free

No credit card required · 5 free analyses per month

Signal computed Sep 19, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.