Brazilian Stocks signal
GOAU4

GOAU4

Metalurgica Gerdau S.A. · Basic Materials

Brazilian StocksSteelSAOBRL-92.4% from ATH
Current Price

$10.30

Drawdown from ATH

-92.4%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against GOAU4's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: GOAU4's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+0.39%
May 5Jun 16
About GOAU4

Metalurgica Gerdau S.A.

Metalurgica Gerdau S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and supplies long steel products in Brazil, the Americas, and internationally. The company offers rebars, profiles, wires, thick plates, hot-rolled coils, billets, blooms, plates, wire rod, structural profiles, and flat steel and iron ore, as well as bars, including special steels. Metalurgica Gerdau S.A.was formerly known as METALÚRGICA HUGO GERDAU S.A and changed its name to Metalurgica Gerdau S.A. in June 1965. Metalurgica Gerd

The reading

How Dipsern reads GOAU4 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is GOAU4 doing right now?

In plain terms: GOAU4 is 92.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Metalurgica Gerdau SA (GOAU4) is trading in a historic crash, 92.4% below its all-time high at $10.3. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for GOAU4 — 2354 confirmed observations in the 95%-to-90% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in brazilian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for GOAU4

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to GOAU4's own volatility history. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.

Comparable signals

Other Brazilian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to GOAU4's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Raizen SA

-93.4% from ATH

IRB Brasil Resseguros SA

-94.9% from ATH

Companhia Brasileira de Distribuicao

-95.3% from ATH

Hapvida Participacoes e Investimentos SA

-95.9% from ATH

Locaweb Servicos de Internet SA

-88.1% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for GOAU4. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-100% to -95%3100
-95% to -90%Current2354
-90% to -85%773
-85% to -80%242
-80% to -75%24
-20% to -15%16
-15% to -10%30
-10% to -5%21
-5% to 0%19
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of GOAU4's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock GOAU4's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for GOAU4.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy GOAU4 at your own broker.

Analyze GOAU4 Free

No credit card required · 5 free analyses per month

Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.