Brazilian Stocks signal
PCAR3

PCAR3

Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao · Consumer Cyclical

Brazilian StocksDepartment StoresSAOBRL-95.3% from ATH
Current Price

$1.93

Drawdown from ATH

-95.3%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against PCAR3's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: PCAR3's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-29.04%
May 5Jun 16
About PCAR3

Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao

Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao operates supermarkets, specialized stores in Brazil. The company sells food products beverages, fruits, vegetables, meat, bread, cold cuts, and dairy products. It also engages in retail of food and other products under Pão de Açúcar, Minuto Pão de Açúcar, Extra Mercado and Minimercado Extra brand names. It also offers baby items, cleaning products, pet care, and more under its private label and third-party brands. In addition, the company sells its products t

The reading

How Dipsern reads PCAR3 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is PCAR3 doing right now?

In plain terms: PCAR3 is 95.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

PCAR3 (Companhia Brasileira de Distribuicao) is 95.3% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a historic crash, with the last trade at $1.93. Historic crashes (60%+ drawdowns) are rare events. For some assets they marked generational entries; for others they were warning signs of permanent capital loss.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

PCAR3 has rarely been in the 100% to 95% drawdown band over its trading history, so the sample size for forecasting forward returns is small. We surface this transparently — small samples are still informative, but the confidence interval is wider than for assets with decades of data at this level.

Interpretation

What this means for PCAR3

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to PCAR3's own volatility history. Crash-level drawdowns are tail events with few historical analogs. The signal should be read as "here's what happened the last few times" rather than a base-rate forecast.

Comparable signals

Other Brazilian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to PCAR3's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

IRB Brasil Resseguros SA

-94.9% from ATH

Hapvida Participacoes e Investimentos SA

-95.9% from ATH

Raizen SA

-93.4% from ATH

CVC Brasil Operadora e Agencia de Viagens SA

-97.4% from ATH

Magazine Luiza SA

-97.9% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for PCAR3. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-95% to -90%585
-90% to -85%53
-85% to -80%2
-70% to -65%16
-65% to -60%59
-60% to -55%94
-55% to -50%115
-50% to -45%125
-45% to -40%355
-40% to -35%537
-35% to -30%950
-30% to -25%329
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of PCAR3's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock PCAR3's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for PCAR3.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy PCAR3 at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.