HAL

How is HAL doing right now?

In plain terms: HAL is 37.2% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

HAL (Halliburton) is 37.2% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a severe drawdown, with the last trade at $37.2. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, HAL has spent enough trading days in the 40%-to-35% drawdown band to build a large sample (1135 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

What this means for HAL

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for HAL reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.