US Stocks signal
MDB

MDB

MongoDB, Inc.

US Stocks-24.9% from ATH
Current Price

$439.16

Drawdown from ATH

-24.9%

Last Updated

Aug 12, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against MDB's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: MDB's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+30.74%
Jun 30Aug 11
The reading

How Dipsern reads MDB right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is MDB doing right now?

In plain terms: MDB is 24.9% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

MDB (MongoDB, Inc.) is 24.9% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a deep drawdown, with the last trade at $439.16. Deep drawdowns shift the conversation from "is this a buy" to "what's broken". Sometimes it's macro. Sometimes it's the asset itself. Dipsern's data tells you which one history rewarded.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, MDB has spent enough trading days in the 25%-to-20% drawdown band to build a meaningful sample (91 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for MDB

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for MDB reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Deep drawdowns require a story for why this time isn't different. The Dipsern signal can tell you what historically happened next; it can't tell you whether the current setup matches the historical analog.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to MDB's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Northrop Grumman

-25.0% from ATH

Ares Management

-24.8% from ATH

Southwest Airlines

-23.8% from ATH

UDR, Inc.

-26.3% from ATH

Idexx Laboratories

-23.5% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for MDB. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-80% to -75%8
-75% to -70%42
-70% to -65%108
-65% to -60%139
-60% to -55%138
-55% to -50%130
-50% to -45%67
-45% to -40%107
-40% to -35%164
-35% to -30%133
-30% to -25%147
-25% to -20%Current91
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of MDB's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock MDB's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for MDB.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy MDB at your own broker.

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Signal computed Aug 12, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.