US Stocks signal
LUV

LUV

Southwest Airlines Co. · Industrials

US StocksAirlinesNYQUSD-20.6% from ATH
Current Price

$47.43

Drawdown from ATH

-20.6%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against LUV's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: LUV's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+19.44%
May 5Jun 16
About LUV

Southwest Airlines Co.

Southwest Airlines Co. operates as a passenger airline company that provides scheduled air transportation services in the United States and internationally. It also provides Rapid Rewards loyalty program; SWABIZ, an online booking tool; and inflight entertainment platform that includes movies-on-demand live and on-demand television, flight tracker, and additional curated content, as well as a variety of premium snacks and coffee. In addition, the company offers ancillary services, such as in-fli

The reading

How Dipsern reads LUV right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is LUV doing right now?

In plain terms: LUV is 20.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Southwest Airlines (LUV) sits 20.6% off its peak and is currently in a deep drawdown, last printing at $47.43. Deep drawdowns shift the conversation from "is this a buy" to "what's broken". Sometimes it's macro. Sometimes it's the asset itself. Dipsern's data tells you which one history rewarded.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, LUV has spent enough trading days in the 25%-to-20% drawdown band to build a large sample (960 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for LUV

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for LUV reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Deep drawdowns require a story for why this time isn't different. The Dipsern signal can tell you what historically happened next; it can't tell you whether the current setup matches the historical analog.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to LUV's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Apollo Global Management

-20.7% from ATH

Lockheed Martin

-20.8% from ATH

McKesson Corporation

-21.1% from ATH

Capital One

-21.6% from ATH

Cintas

-21.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for LUV. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-80% to -75%12
-75% to -70%63
-70% to -65%98
-65% to -60%384
-60% to -55%337
-55% to -50%552
-50% to -45%828
-45% to -40%1176
-40% to -35%1149
-35% to -30%1116
-30% to -25%1030
-25% to -20%Current960
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of LUV's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock LUV's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for LUV.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy LUV at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.